Taliban take Kunduz, naturally!

Taliban capture major city in Afghanistan, free hundreds of prisoners

DEVELOPING: Afghanistan said Monday that the Taliban have captured the northern city of Kunduz after a series of battles with government forces, marking the first time the insurgents have seized a major urban area since the U.S.-led invasion in 2001.

Taliban-KunduzJust a few years ago Kunduz was pretty quiet. What fighting there was, took place in the south. Luckily our crack foreign policy team and military leaders have created a nice little vacuum in AFG, IRQ, and well hell, nearly everywhere.

Europe has been invaded and the President is worried about climate change and transgender opportunities in the military.

I wonder what our grandchildren will think when they look back at this time in history. Actually, I wonder if they’ll be allowed to think or speak.

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13 thoughts on “Taliban take Kunduz, naturally!

  1. Kunduz city appears to be heavily contested and is likely to experience heavy urban kinetic combat for some time.

    This is the first major urban area the Taliban has had significant success in.

    It is politically unacceptable for the Afghan Government to let the Taliban retain control over large parts of Kunduz city. I fear the Afghans will do whatever it takes to retake all of Kunduz city, including emptying the rest of the country of ANSF. Leading to Taliban offensives in many other places (which are newly depleted of ANSF.)

    This is incredibly sad since many of the Taliban’s (and AQ’s and ISIS’ and fellow Takfiri) fiercest opponents live in Kunduz; and the Taliban is likely to attempt revenge against their families.

    None of this would have happened if President Obama did not overrule the McChrystal/Petraeus/Caldwell plan to build the ANSF in 2010 while getting no concessions from Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, or the Taliban for doing what they wanted most.

  2. Ymarsakar, many ISAF made efforts to address Bacha Bazi (or boy abuse) and sometimes to good effect.

    The way to address this is through strengthening the justice system within Afghan MoI and Afghan MoD, as well as through ANA and ANP chaplains.

    When Gen McChrystal (who I think very highly of) took over as COMISAF in June, 2009, he proposed a major surge in ANSF capacity. This policy was broadly supported by Gen Petraeus, CENTCOM, NATO, ISAF, IJC, EU, UN, NTM-A (General Caldwell), Russia, India, Japan, Australia And the policy was very popular among Afghan civilians, and MoI/MoD/NDS. Even Iran supported this, although Iran claimed that ISAF was trying to block the training of the ANSF and was trying to back Taliban/AQ against the ANSF.

    One of the centerpieces of this strategy was to increase the number of 4 year Afghan academy graduates that fed MoI/MoD/NDS from 600/year to something like 3,000 per year (although some favored only 2,000/year.) In 2010 President Obama blocked this plan. Interestingly President Obama implemented what the Pakistani Army, Saudi Arabia and the Taliban wanted most; and did not bother to ask anything from the Pakistani Army, Saudi Arabia and the Taliban in return. Currently there are just under 700 four year Afghan academy graduates a year.

    If the McChrystal/Petraeus plan to expand the National Defense University had been implemented, MoD/MoI would have had the officers to resource the MoD/MoI justice system, as well as increase the density of capable, idealistic, and more difficult to bribe officers throughout the country.

    So the problem of Bacha Bazi is partly President Obama’s fault.

    It is remarkable that the 340,000 ANSF are performing as well as they are with only 600-700 four year military academy recruits a year. The ANSF are likely to suffer over 10,000 killed in action in 2015, and many wounded in addition to that. Relative to population this is like the US military suffering over 100,000 killed in action every year indefinitely. The ANSF are performing better than expected under the circumstances.

    ++++++++++++++++++++++

    A lot more information is now out regarding Kunduz city. Expect the ANSF to fully recapture the city quickly. This said several major bank vaults, several major jewelry stores, the hospital, UN compound, several NGO compounds, many successful businesses, and NDS/ANP weapons caches were robbed. The Taliban/Lashar e Taiba/IMU/IJU/Chechens/Pakistanis/other foreign fighters are not trying to hold the city, but escape into the countryside with the loot. A major test of the ANSF is how much of the loot the ANSF can destroy or recapture as the Taliban flee. The ANSF also need to kill/capture as many Taliban as possible as they run away (tactically redeploy).

  3. When Gen McChrystal (who I think very highly of) took over as COMISAF in June, 2009, he proposed a major surge in ANSF capacity.

    That’s partially why Hussein and Co cut him off at the knees. The Regime needs terrorists in Afghanistan for something future related.

    If the McChrystal/Petraeus plan to expand the National Defense University had been implemented, MoD/MoI would have had the officers to resource the MoD/MoI justice system, as well as increase the density of capable, idealistic, and more difficult to bribe officers throughout the country.

    Which is why they sabotaged Iraq as well. It’s intentional, not a mistake on the part of Hussein REgime and company.

  4. Luckily our crack foreign policy team and military leaders have created a nice little vacuum in AFG, IRQ, and well hell, nearly everywhere.

    I think of it as a demo expert laying charges and det cord all over some bridges, then when people drive over it and the bridge mysteriously collapses after a boom, the demo guy says “the wind must have collapsed the bridge or weakened the support strucs”.

    Or in other words, “it was just a vacuum, we didn’t know about it”.

  5. Off topic but in a lighter more positive note, there’s been signs of an American patriotic ish rebellion movement going on underneath the usual communication networks.

    https://ymarsakar.wordpress.com/2015/10/05/a-new-generation-bred-in-the-deserts-without-decadence/

    I study them like I studied various other sub cultures that spoke English (and others that didn’t). The situation at large also reminds me of first learning what COIN were in Iraq and how military tactics, strategy, and logistics worked together against terrorists in civilian clothing.

    Many different povs and fields put together now. What would it be called now, polymath?

  6. CINC POTUS Obama is well intentioned but incompetent, uninformed and foolish. Nothing is intentional, because everything surprises him.

    International issues truly take up a very small slice of his mindshare. He simply does not think about them, or allow analysis of them by others in front of him. Pres Obama is very mentally disciplined in what he does every hour of every day, only focusing on the task at hand.

    This quality serves him well when he is spending the right amount of time on each issue, but terribly when important issues are not “scheduled” into enough time slots per day.

    For the President to make informed decisions he needs to schedule all day “deep dives” into important issues from time to time (when he listens to multiple data points, multiples types of analysis, and multiple thought processes . . . and allows time for them to sink in for deeper personal reflection).

  7. CINC POTUS Obama is well intentioned but incompetent, uninformed and foolish. Nothing is intentional, because everything surprises him.

    Are intelligent intel analysts supposed to believe now that Benghazi surprised Hussein? That ISIL surprised Hussein?

    Maybe in the sense that the people he was funding and training, bit the hand that fed them.

    Nobody is capable of giving a Stand Down order to allow Americans to die in Benghazi, if they were surprised by it and frozen. The OODA loop doesn’t work like that.

    For the President to make informed decisions he needs to schedule all day “deep dives” into important issues from time to time

    That has nothing to do with intent at all. Where’s your proof that he didn’t intend it and got surprised?

    So far, it doesn’t exist, A.

  8. I’ll be honest I don’t know which to believe. Incompetent or purposefully bad. It’s probably a combination of both. I don’t think he’s interested in the world or foreign policy. Although there has been a loss of a lot of military leaders the last few years and the intelligence community is constantly thrown under the bus. I know for a fact many in the intelligence community have been warning about many of the situations we are facing today.

  9. People who are actively serving under the “CINC” are best limited to very vague talk, preferably no talk at all on this subject. Otherwise they get purged.

    This is what they accused Cheney, Rumsfeld, and Bush II of doing actually. They would know… right, those accusers.

    The only people that are potentially free to talk on this issue, are the retired ones or the military personnel that has already been purged.

  10. http://neoneocon.com/2015/10/13/another-brilliant-person-who-doesnt-understand-obama/

    Political analysts have also spent decades, more or less, trying to analyze public figures. There’s contradictory profiles of this Hussein character.

    From my pov, it’s because they don’t take a profile point of view at all nor an intel analyst pov. Their political pov is too limited, usually, to connect the dots. But it gets obvious when their predictions don’t pan out, as seen in the topic of the article.

  11. The problem is that many of us know exactly what this person is or at least the effect he would /has had on the country. But, a large portion of the country is either incapable of seeing, don’t care to see what this person is or they simply agree with him and have the same goals. I doubt the founding fathers would have ever thought we would be so easily led to destruction.

  12. Hussein’s just another King like George back then, so when the FFs were talking about “foreign potentates” buying up all the votes, they may not have visualized the modern welfare state but it wasn’t necessary. Feudalism and slavery 2.0 is essentially the same thing.

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