Aha, I remember the days when I posted often. I think I even made sense every now and then. It’s been tough to time to write something worthwhile. Oh, there’s lots going on but most of it is so depressing I often just don’t feel like commenting. But I’ll do my best to catch up today.
First off just as an FYI, I’ve started a Master’s of Science program in Management with an emphasis on IT/Project Management. I’ve already seen some late nights and time crunches. I suppose that just comes with the territory.
So to the news:
There was never any doubt there would be a deal. This was decided long ago by the Administration. The only question was how good it was going to be for the Iranians. From the first look at the document, (http://apps.washingtonpost.com/g/documents/world/full-text-of-the-iran-nuclear-deal/1651/) this is my take away.
Iran gets nearly all sanctions lifted. This is a great economic boost for them. Iran continues to be a leader in state sponsored terror and no doubt this will boost their contributions to their continued efforts. According to the International Business Times,
“The lifting of sanctions could allow Iran to recoup more than $100 billion in frozen oil profits. It would also reopen Iran’s ability to export oil to buyers worldwide and allow its banking system to do business with Europe. The nation’s economy could expand by 5 percent to 8 percent per year, Virginia Tech University Economics Professor Djavad Salehi-Isfahani told the Post.”
I wish our economy could expand like that.
We get promises that they are not interested in nuclear weapons production. Yet we know they continually lie about their nuclear program. In the agreement they get notice before any inspection and the right to challenge the inspections. This could take weeks and will give them plenty of time to hide any evidence.
The document is 151 pages long so I’m not going into details as most of it is just normal diplomatic fluff which has little meaning.
If Iran were trustworthy I’d have little issue with the deal. But they are not.
Foreign Policy Magazine notes:
Just before Labor Day weekend, the State and Treasury Departments sanctioned several individuals and organizations “providing support to illicit Iranian nuclear activities.”
These include illicit procurements for centrifuge enrichment and the heavy water reactor under construction at Arak. The administration recently detailed Iran’s ongoing illicit procurements in a report to a U.N. panel. Iranian President Hassan Rouhani boasted this summer, “Of course we bypass the sanctions, and we take pride in it.” Indeed, no one seems particularly concerned about ongoing violations of U.N. sanctions. After all, in July 2006, the Security Council demanded that Iran suspend all uranium enrichment-related activities, but eight years later, more than 9,000 centrifuges are still spinning at Natanz and Fordow.
The one possible silver lining, Oil price may drop due to Iran’s ability to sell oil and add millions of barrels of oil to the market. That’s not good for oil workers but gas prices might return to sane levels.
So do I think this was a good deal? I highly doubt it. I think the enforcement is pretty weak and will be side-stepped. I don’t know if this is just ego massaging or naiveté, but I don’t think this is going to end well.
I live in the land of the Denver Broncos. Their symbols are everywhere. But I grew up in the land of the Oakland Raiders. One very large part of that time was Ken Stabler.
He led a Raiders team the often seemed to wait until the forth quarter to begin playing. When the game seemed all but over, Stabler would bring them back and often win. It was fun and frustrating to watch. But you knew that until the final whistle blew the game was still in play.
Ken Stabler was playing football when it was still affordable to see.
I used to have a signed football from Ken. At some point in my life it didn’t make the many moves. I sure wish I still had the football today.
The Telegraph reports that U.S. allies say President Obama and other Western leaders, including Britain’s David Cameron, aren’t showing leadership over the escalating ISIS crisis in Iraq, Syria and throughout the Middle East.
What is the problem? We were willing and able to arm very questionable Syrian insurgents (Ties to ISIS) but we aren’t willing to arm or let others arm the Kurds. The only people in the area that have had success agains ISIS and the Iraqi Kurds and have been pretty helpful to US forces in Iraq. They are the only trustworthy (relatively) group in the area.
Who side is this administration on?
As has been asked before, if President Obama were working for ISIS what would he be doing different?